Equivalent of four Falmouths to be built by 2030 - 47,000 new homes for Cornwall agreed

Equivalent of four Falmouths to be built - 47,000 new homes for Cornwall agreed

Equivalent of four Falmouths to be built - 47,000 new homes for Cornwall agreed

First published in News

Councillors have agreed plans to build more than 47,000 homes in Cornwall, the equivalent of four towns the size of Falmouth being built by 2030.

Cornish residents will now be consulted on the plans.

The contoversial plan was agreed after a vote at County Hall, with 62 votes for and to 31 against, with 10 abstentions.

This plan will be the cornerstone of Cornwall Council’s planning strategy for the next 17 years.

The 47,500 includes existing permissions, and houses that have been built between 2010 and the present day will be deducted from the headline figure and not added.

This means that 27,000 of the homes have already been granted planning permission, of which over 7,000 have been built. That leaves 20,500 dwellings for the next 17 years.

Councillor Andrew Wallis said that most if not all of the process and  debate has been on the number of dwellings within this plan.

Adding that if these numbers are set too low, the plan will be rejected by Government.

He said: "This would leave Cornwall without that all important plan. The advice given is a plan with numbers less than 47,500 would be in grave danger of falling foul of the Government rules. We may not like it, but it is the Government's ball, and they set the game.

"The government guidance states the headline figure should be evidenced using a Strategic Housing Market Needs Assessment or SHMNA unless better evidence is available these should start with data from the Office of National Statistics.

"There is currently no other defensible evidence and the 47,500 is the lowest figure that aligns with this guidance and our officers feel they can robustly defend this figure.

"Local Plans elsewhere have been rejected for proposing as little as one per cent and two per cent lower than ONS projections.

"Out of the 64 other Local Authority Local Plans, only three have managed to defend a lower figure, and all these were told an early review was to be undertaken on those numbers. Interestingly, no Local Plan in the last year has managed to defend a plan with lower numbers."

A bid to lower the number to around 33,000 by Conservative councillors at the authority was roundly defeated, with Cllr Fiona Ferguson calling the decision, "A bad day for Cornwall and a disaster in the making".

She said: "The manner in which the Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures are generally used for the assessment of housing need does not provide an accurate picture of the future population of Cornwall. This has been shown time and again. It should come as no surprise because our population growth is almost exclusively as a result of net inward migration, which is far more difficult to estimate than natural growth.

"The housing report prepared by the council’s consultants predicts that between 47,300 and 71,980 dwellings will be needed.

"Unfortunately the approach taken by Cornwall council in not challenging the consultant’s figures will allow the planning inspector who examines their plan the opportunity to ask why he/she should not require the higher number.

"Recent examples of local authorities that have submitted evidence with a range of figures is that the inspector will require the top end of the range and not the bottom.

"The net result of today’s decision by councillors voting for 47,500 is that they will open the door for the inspector to reject the plan as unsound and/or require a figure closer to 71,980."

Cllr Dick Cole of Mebyon Kernow said that the MK group also did not support the target of 47,500.

He said: "In the final vote, we abstained because no alternative proposal had been tabled, which could be supported, and a consultation document needed to be agreed.

"During this consultation, the MK group will continue to challenge the Coalition Government to allow Cornwall Council to set its own housing target – and to work up detailed evidence for a sustainable lower housing target which we will present to the public examination."

 

Comments (14)

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12:08pm Wed 15 Jan 14

Gillian Zella Martin 09 says...

Do Cornwall Council have a local plan for the availability of NHS Dental and Doctors placements on registered lists, for accompaniment to the extra new build dwellings?
Do Cornwall Council have a local plan for the availability of NHS Dental and Doctors placements on registered lists, for accompaniment to the extra new build dwellings? Gillian Zella Martin 09
  • Score: 6

12:26pm Wed 15 Jan 14

MARTIN GILL says...

Gillian Zella Martin 09 wrote:
Do Cornwall Council have a local plan for the availability of NHS Dental and Doctors placements on registered lists, for accompaniment to the extra new build dwellings?
A good point that. But with all these 'newcomers' to the County there will be pressure on Schools to provide extra places for Pupils. Where are all these people going to work? How will the Roads in each Town cope with extra vehicles? There has been a debate recently about how Falmouth is going to cope with extra vehicles in the Bickland Water Road area following the development of thousands more homes. I can see that in a few years time, virtually every major town in this county will be gridlocked with traffic from morning till night. Cornwall Council are moaning now that they haven't the money to fix Potholes in the roads. So, what is going to happen when thousands of extra vehicles are on the roads in future?
[quote][p][bold]Gillian Zella Martin 09[/bold] wrote: Do Cornwall Council have a local plan for the availability of NHS Dental and Doctors placements on registered lists, for accompaniment to the extra new build dwellings?[/p][/quote]A good point that. But with all these 'newcomers' to the County there will be pressure on Schools to provide extra places for Pupils. Where are all these people going to work? How will the Roads in each Town cope with extra vehicles? There has been a debate recently about how Falmouth is going to cope with extra vehicles in the Bickland Water Road area following the development of thousands more homes. I can see that in a few years time, virtually every major town in this county will be gridlocked with traffic from morning till night. Cornwall Council are moaning now that they haven't the money to fix Potholes in the roads. So, what is going to happen when thousands of extra vehicles are on the roads in future? MARTIN GILL
  • Score: 9

1:18pm Wed 15 Jan 14

Gillian Zella Martin 09 says...

Cornwall Council have recently been allocated money with which to fund extra junior school placements and in some cases build new junior schools I believe, but I think this should be supported by a proper maintenance program for senior schools, the ongoing saga of Helston Community College is a prime example of lack of funding.
Cornwall Council have recently been allocated money with which to fund extra junior school placements and in some cases build new junior schools I believe, but I think this should be supported by a proper maintenance program for senior schools, the ongoing saga of Helston Community College is a prime example of lack of funding. Gillian Zella Martin 09
  • Score: 13

1:33pm Wed 15 Jan 14

Gillian Zella Martin 09 says...

I believe two solutions are, that the government should be providing Cornwall Council with a decent rural allowance, and the government should be addressing population growth in general within Britain.
I believe two solutions are, that the government should be providing Cornwall Council with a decent rural allowance, and the government should be addressing population growth in general within Britain. Gillian Zella Martin 09
  • Score: 6

3:15pm Wed 15 Jan 14

Rainbow over Helston says...

When you say population growth Gill do you meal like China where you should only have one child? Where will all the jobs be for these new homeowners or will they all be second homes? I'm going back home soon to Scotland when my daughter finishes uni but i reckon eventually there will be nothing different for tourists to come to Cornwall for, it will be built up like every other county, pebble beaches where there was sand and premier inns and retail parks everywhere and when the last bit has been built on it will all flood because there is nowhere for the water to go then the population will die out and Cornwall will become a ghost county and Mr Cameron will say we are all in this together.
When you say population growth Gill do you meal like China where you should only have one child? Where will all the jobs be for these new homeowners or will they all be second homes? I'm going back home soon to Scotland when my daughter finishes uni but i reckon eventually there will be nothing different for tourists to come to Cornwall for, it will be built up like every other county, pebble beaches where there was sand and premier inns and retail parks everywhere and when the last bit has been built on it will all flood because there is nowhere for the water to go then the population will die out and Cornwall will become a ghost county and Mr Cameron will say we are all in this together. Rainbow over Helston
  • Score: 9

3:37pm Wed 15 Jan 14

Gillian Zella Martin 09 says...

To clarify, no I was not referring to limiting child birth rates, I was referring to limiting immigration into Britain by selection process, in the same way many other countries do.

What I would like to know is 20,500 homes over the next 17 years (balance from the 47,500 total figure) still to be given planning permission and to be actually built, was this figure based on a true projection of population rate for Cornwall over the next 17 years? I believe population rate estimations have never been very accurate in the past.
To clarify, no I was not referring to limiting child birth rates, I was referring to limiting immigration into Britain by selection process, in the same way many other countries do. What I would like to know is 20,500 homes over the next 17 years (balance from the 47,500 total figure) still to be given planning permission and to be actually built, was this figure based on a true projection of population rate for Cornwall over the next 17 years? I believe population rate estimations have never been very accurate in the past. Gillian Zella Martin 09
  • Score: 9

10:36pm Wed 15 Jan 14

ucsweb says...

Finally the penny drops!
Finally the penny drops! ucsweb
  • Score: -8

10:42pm Wed 15 Jan 14

seacom says...

The population growth rate is not based upon the existing population within Cornwall today, and whatever number of new properties suggested will not cater for the existing population solely.The figures include the influx of those retiring or seeking employment maybe even those seeking a holiday bolthole.In the short term increased employment due to construction followed by many years of traffic congestion and increasing strain on an already stretched infrastructure.If only the council had submitted its suggested estimate of need without increasing the total within the time limit a lower number may now have been looming.As it stands developers must be rubbing their hands in anticipation at the boom times to come.
The population growth rate is not based upon the existing population within Cornwall today, and whatever number of new properties suggested will not cater for the existing population solely.The figures include the influx of those retiring or seeking employment maybe even those seeking a holiday bolthole.In the short term increased employment due to construction followed by many years of traffic congestion and increasing strain on an already stretched infrastructure.If only the council had submitted its suggested estimate of need without increasing the total within the time limit a lower number may now have been looming.As it stands developers must be rubbing their hands in anticipation at the boom times to come. seacom
  • Score: 6

6:45am Thu 16 Jan 14

c41gbh says...

Mebyon Kernow councillors decided to abstain from the vote eh? I must remember to abstain from voting for them in future local elections. This decision is a tragedy for Cornwall.
Mebyon Kernow councillors decided to abstain from the vote eh? I must remember to abstain from voting for them in future local elections. This decision is a tragedy for Cornwall. c41gbh
  • Score: 3

8:03am Thu 16 Jan 14

Gillian Zella Martin 09 says...

seacom wrote:
The population growth rate is not based upon the existing population within Cornwall today, and whatever number of new properties suggested will not cater for the existing population solely.The figures include the influx of those retiring or seeking employment maybe even those seeking a holiday bolthole.In the short term increased employment due to construction followed by many years of traffic congestion and increasing strain on an already stretched infrastructure.If only the council had submitted its suggested estimate of need without increasing the total within the time limit a lower number may now have been looming.As it stands developers must be rubbing their hands in anticipation at the boom times to come.
The fact a lower figure was not tabled on which to vote, now leaves Cornwall open to the planning inspector opting for the higher end of the range of the figure supplied by the consultants, this leaves one wondering are some elected Councillors really 'qualified' to be making these decisions for Cornwall?
[quote][p][bold]seacom[/bold] wrote: The population growth rate is not based upon the existing population within Cornwall today, and whatever number of new properties suggested will not cater for the existing population solely.The figures include the influx of those retiring or seeking employment maybe even those seeking a holiday bolthole.In the short term increased employment due to construction followed by many years of traffic congestion and increasing strain on an already stretched infrastructure.If only the council had submitted its suggested estimate of need without increasing the total within the time limit a lower number may now have been looming.As it stands developers must be rubbing their hands in anticipation at the boom times to come.[/p][/quote]The fact a lower figure was not tabled on which to vote, now leaves Cornwall open to the planning inspector opting for the higher end of the range of the figure supplied by the consultants, this leaves one wondering are some elected Councillors really 'qualified' to be making these decisions for Cornwall? Gillian Zella Martin 09
  • Score: 4

4:30pm Thu 16 Jan 14

seacom says...

Maybe more the case councillors at the time of the of the original discussions on projected numbers were not qualified as they did not put forward a plan in time.This gave central government a clear message of indecision so weakening local ability to manage our future.
Maybe more the case councillors at the time of the of the original discussions on projected numbers were not qualified as they did not put forward a plan in time.This gave central government a clear message of indecision so weakening local ability to manage our future. seacom
  • Score: 1

4:53pm Thu 16 Jan 14

Gillian Zella Martin 09 says...

seacom wrote:
Maybe more the case councillors at the time of the of the original discussions on projected numbers were not qualified as they did not put forward a plan in time.This gave central government a clear message of indecision so weakening local ability to manage our future.
Possibly, but have the current council not had since the last May elections to devise their own plan and submit a lower figure?
[quote][p][bold]seacom[/bold] wrote: Maybe more the case councillors at the time of the of the original discussions on projected numbers were not qualified as they did not put forward a plan in time.This gave central government a clear message of indecision so weakening local ability to manage our future.[/p][/quote]Possibly, but have the current council not had since the last May elections to devise their own plan and submit a lower figure? Gillian Zella Martin 09
  • Score: 11

6:01pm Fri 17 Jan 14

titanium says...

When the 47000 homes are built, with an average of two people per house, that is another 94000 people.
Where will the new hospital be built ?.
When the 47000 homes are built, with an average of two people per house, that is another 94000 people. Where will the new hospital be built ?. titanium
  • Score: 6

12:53am Sat 18 Jan 14

molesworth says...

I don't know about anyone else but I think we're all going to hell in a handcart! Mrs M says why don't they realise they're going to spoil Cornwall? Why indeed.
I don't know about anyone else but I think we're all going to hell in a handcart! Mrs M says why don't they realise they're going to spoil Cornwall? Why indeed. molesworth
  • Score: 6

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